Spatial analysis examines UK beach capacity ahead of holiday season

Following last Thursday's scenes in Bournemouth, where a reported half a million people descended onto the beach, Esri UK's analysis reveals that only an estimated 78,000 people could fit. Other beaches surveyed include Brighton (60,000 capacity), Newquay (24,000), Barafundle (3,000) and Luskentyre (24,000).

The method used placed one person inside a 2m diameter circle (following the 2m social distancing guidelines) but with an additional 2m of space between each circle, to represent a hypothetical estimation of beach capacity, allowing some space for people to move around.

Esri UK carried out the spatial analysis using its ArcGIS software. First it calculated the area of dry sand on each beach, using the MasterMap Topography Layer® from Ordnance Survey (OS), using average high tides. Then calculated how many 2m circles could fit on each beach with 2m space between each circle.

With holiday makers in England allowed to stay away overnight from Saturday 4th July and pubs and restaurants set to reopen, it's expected that many popular beach destinations will become extremely busy. Access roads to Durdle Door were closed again last Wednesday and Thursday when parking limits were reached and to ensure social distancing could be maintained at the beach.